Assessment of flood mitigation services in Khon Kaen City through integrated modelling and scenario simulations

Main Article Content

Wanwipha Pantusoknaporn
Fatah Masthawee
Supapap Patsinghasanee
Kittiwet Kuntiyawichai

Abstract

This study highlighted the identifying remedial measures for flood mitigation under varying rainfall intensity. The MIKE URBAN was coupled with the MIKE 21 within the MIKE FLOOD URBAN model to simulate flood propagation in Khon Kaen City. The reliability of 1D model was proven through calibration and validation, in which the water level observed in Nong Khot Lake was satisfactorily predicted as the values of coefficients of determination (R2) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) are greater than 0.80, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) is close to zero, and Percent bias (PBIAS) is less than 10%. The MIKE FLOOD URBAN was further calibrated for the rainfall event of 1 September 2019, while the results from a low Relative Error (RE) of 0.14 and a high F-statistics (FS) of 83.72% indicated a high goodness of fit between UAV-based mapping (0.196 km2) and MIKE FLOOD URBAN simulated flood extents (0.169 km2). The MIKE FLOOD URBAN was validated against floodmarks on 25 September 2022, and there was a satisfactory correlation between flood depth reported by news reports and the simulated results. To respond to floods caused by tropical storms Podul and Noru of September 2019 and September 2022, respectively, five flood mitigation scenarios were examined for their effectiveness compared to the baseline. The integration between the drainage improvement project of Maliwan Road and advance depletion of water level in Nong Khot Lake by 3.5 m, was the most promising combination to alleviate flood consequences at repeatedly flooded areas with the maximum decrease in flood depths of 0.77 m. The average flood depth and total flooded areas were decreased by up to 27.66% and 10.66%, respectively, which is an optimistic sign to convince agencies to extend these management actions to include other flood mitigation works for enhancing flood resilience of Khon Kaen City.

Article Details

How to Cite
Pantusoknaporn, W. ., Masthawee, F. ., Patsinghasanee, S. ., & Kuntiyawichai, K. (2023). Assessment of flood mitigation services in Khon Kaen City through integrated modelling and scenario simulations. Engineering and Applied Science Research, 50(6), 664–675. Retrieved from https://ph01.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/easr/article/view/253903
Section
ORIGINAL RESEARCH

References

Sandink D, Binns AD. Reducing urban flood risk through building- and lot-scale flood mitigation approaches: Challenges and opportunities. Front Water. 2021;3:689202.

Shi Y, Zhai G, Zhou S, Lu Y, Chen W, Deng J. How can cities respond to flood disaster risks under multi-scenario simulation? a case study of Xiamen, China. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019;16(4):618.

Hammond MJ, Chen AS, Djordjević S, Butler D, Mark, O. Urban flood impact assessment: a state-of-the-art review. Urban Water J. 2015;12(1):14-29.

Climate Risk Country Profile: Thailand. The World Bank group and the Asian Development Bank [Internet]. 2021b[cited 2023 May 4]. Available from: https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/2021-08/15853-WB_Thailand%20Country%20Profile-WEB_0.pdf.

Chen J, Brissette FP, Lucas-Picher P, Caya D. Impacts of weighting climate models for hydro-meteorological climate change studies. J Hydrol. 2017;549:534-46.

Turkington T, Breinl K, Ettema J, Alkema D, Jetten V. A new flood type classification method for use in climate change impact studies. Weather Clim Extrem. 2016;14:1-16.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation: special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2012.

Ferreira CSS, Potočki K, Kapović-Solomun M, Kalantari Z. Nature-based solutions for flood mitigation and resilience in urban areas. In: Ferreira CSS, Kalantari Z, Hartmann T, Pereira P, editors. Nature-based solutions for flood mitigation. The handbook of environmental chemistry. Cham: Springer; 2021. p. 59-78.

Andjelkovic I. Guidelines on non-structural measures in urban flood management. International Hydrological Programme. Technical Documents in Hydrology, No.50. Paris: United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO); 2001.

Vojinovic Z, Alves A, Gomez JP, Weesakul S, Keerakamolchai W, Meesuk V, et al. Effectiveness of small- and large-scale nature-based solutions for flood mitigation: the case of Ayutthaya, Thailand. Sci Total Environ. 2021;789:147725.

Mekpruksawong P, Suwattana T, Meepayoong N. The alternatives of flood mitigation in the downstream area of Mun River Basin. Proceedings of the 2nd THAICID National Symposium; 2007 Jun 14; Bangkok, Thailand. p. 1-9.

Rather NA, Islam SU, Huda MB, Eslamian S. Floodwater harvesting. In: Eslamian S, Eslamian F, editors. Flood handbook: Principles and applications. Boca Raton: CRC Press; 2022. p. 457-74.

Krue-hom D, Kwanyuen B. The study of flood mitigation by Huay Sa-Mong Dam Project and Khlong Pra Sathueng Reservoir Project in Bangpakong-Prachinburi River Basin. J KMUTNB. 2017;27(4):707-27. (In Thai)

Wattanaprateep T. Flood mitigation in Monkey’s Cheek Project Area. Proceedings of the 2nd World Irrigation Forum; 2016 Nov 6-8; Chiang Mai, Thailand.

Suksri A. Optimization of reservoir operation under climate change scenarios for flood control and irrigation: a case study of Kiew Kor Mah Reservoir in the Wang River Basin, Thailand [thesis]. Pathum Thani, Thailand: Asian Institute of Technology; 2019.

Khongkadae L, Wangwongwiroj N. Flood simulation in Klongtoey-Watthana Polder using MIKE FLOOD URBAN Model. KMUTT Res Dev J. 2016;39(1):85-100. (In Thai)

Kuntiyawichai K, Schultz B, Uhlenbrook S, Suryadi FX, van Griensven A. Comparison of flood management options for the Yang River Basin, Thailand. Irrig Drain. 2011;60(4):526-43.

Visutimeteegorn S, Likitdecharote K, Vongvisessomjai S. Effects on the upstream flood inundation caused from the operation of Chao Phraya Dam. Songklanakarin J Sci Technol. 2007;29(6):1662-74.

Asian Cities Climate Change Resilience Network. Learning and networking for resilience. Bangkok: Thailand Environment Institute; 2016. (In Thai)

Upper Northeastern Meteorological Center. Annual meteorological statistics in Khon Kaen [Internet]. 2023 [cited 2023 Apr 29]. Available from: http://www.khonkaen.tmd.go.th/.

Thongdam S, Kuster AC, Huser BJ, Kuster AT. Low dose Coagulant and local soil ballast effectively remove Cyanobacteria (Microcystis) from Tropical Lake water without cell damage. Water. 2021;13(2):111.

Danish Hydraulic Institute. MIKE 11, a modelling system for rivers and channels, reference manual. Denmark: Danish Hydraulic Institute; 2021.

Jiang Z, Molkenthin F, Sieker H. Urban surface characteristics study using time-area function model: a case study in Saudi Arabia. Procedia Eng. 2016;154:911-8.

Danish Hydraulic Institute. MOUSE runoff reference manual [Internet]. 2019 [cited 2023 May 8]. Available from: https://manuals.mikepoweredbydhi.help/2019/Cities/MOUSERunoffReference.pdf.

Moriasi DN, Gitau MW, Pai N, Daggupati P. Hydrologic and water quality models: performance measures and evaluation criteria. Trans ASABE. 2015;58(6):1763-85.

Danish Hydraulic Institute. MOUSE - Pipe flow - Reference manual [Internet]. 2019 [cited 2023 May 8]. Available from: https://manuals.mikepoweredbydhi.help/2019/Cities/MOUSEPipeFlowReference.pdf.

Danish Hydraulic Institute. Modelling of storm water drainage networks and sewer collection systems [Internet]. 2017 [cited 2023 May 8]. Available from: https://manuals.mikepoweredbydhi.help/2017/Cities/CollectionSystem.pdf.

Liu J, Li Z, Shao W, Yan D, Mei, C. Urban flood modelling in Qiqihar City based on MIKE Flood. Proc IAHS. 2020;383:185-92.

Yin D, Evans B, Wang Q, Chen Z, Jia H, Chen AS, et al. Integrated 1D and 2D Model for better assessing runoff quantity control of low impact development facilities on community scale. Sci Total Environ. 2020;720:137630.

Filipova V, Rana A, Singh P. Urban flooding in Gothenburg - A MIKE21 study. J Water Manag Res. 2012;68:175-84.

Danish Hydraulic Institute. MIKE 21 Flow Model & MIKE 21 FLOOD Screening Tool - Hydrodynamic Module - Scientific documentation [Internet]. 2017 [cited 2023 May 18]. Available from: https://manuals.mikepoweredbydhi.help/2017/ Coast_and_Sea/M21HDFST_Scientific_Doc.pdf.

Landrein J. Introduction to MIKE FLOOD. HydroEurope; 2011 Feb 18; University of Nice Sophia Antipolis, France.

Ngoc DV, Gourbesville P. Model uncertainty in flood modelling. Case study at Vu Gia Thu Bon Catchment-Vietnam. Procedia Eng. 2016;154:450-8.

Ghosh M, Mohanty MP, Kishore P, Karmakar S. Performance evaluation of potential inland flood management options through a three-way linked hydrodynamic modelling framework for a coastal urban watershed. Hydrol Res. 2021;52(1):61-77.

Merwade V, Olivera F, Arabi M, Edleman S. Uncertainty in flood inundation mapping: current issues and future directions. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering. 2008;13(7):608-20.

Ngoc Duong V. Deterministic hydrological modelling for flood risk assessment and climate change in large catchment. Application to Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment, Vietnam [thesis]. Nice, France: University of Nice Sophia Antipolis; 2015.

Abbaspour KC, Rouholahnejad E, Vaghefi S, Srinivasan R, Yang H, Kløve B. A continental-scale hydrology and water quality model for Europe: calibration and uncertainty of a high-resolution large-scale SWAT model. J Hydrol. 2015;524:733-52.

Mengistu AG, van Rensburg LD, Woyessa YE. Techniques for calibration and validation of SWAT Model in data scarce arid and semi-arid catchments in South Africa. J Hydrol Reg Stud. 2019;25:100621.

Kuntiyawichai K, Sri-Amporn W, Wongsasri S, Chindaprasirt P. Anticipating of potential climate and land use change impacts on floods: a case study of the Lower Nam Phong River Basin. Water. 2020;12(4):1158.

Jung Y, Kim D, Kim D, Kim M, Lee SO. Simplified flood inundation mapping based on flood elevation-discharge rating curves using satellite images in gauged watersheds. Water. 2014;6(5):1280-99.

MGR Online. Severe flooding affected parts of Khon Kaen City after the whole night rainfall [Internet]. 2022 [cited Jul 10]. Available from: https://mgronline.com/local/detail/9650000092315.

TOP News Online. Khon Kaen City submerged under 1-meter flood water, while the students of Khon Kaen School for the Blind were ordered evacuated [Internet]. 2022 [cited 2023 Jul 10]. Available from: https://www.topnews.co.th/news/440037.