Electricity Generation Mix Scenarios Simulation and Optimization in Jordan up to 2050 Using LEAP Software
Keywords:
Multi Criteria Decision Making, Long-Rang Energy Alternatives Planning System, Renewable Energy, Electricity Generation Technologies, Electricity Generation MixAbstract
This paper presents simulation and optimization model for Six electricity generation mix scenarios for Jordan up to 2050 depending on Jordan new energy strategy in the period 2015-2025 according to the ministry of energy and mineral resources in Jordan. The Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) software was applied in scenarios simulation and optimization model application on six suggested electric generation mix scenarios in order to help the decision makers in electricity strategic generation planning to meet future electricity demand in the country. The results help in planning for optimal electricity generation mix. The sensitivity analysis to be carried on model results. LEAP software analysis results that the 13,355.2 Megawatt-Years electricity generation mix by the year 2050 in Jordan will be mainly to be generated from conventional power plants 53% followed by solar and wind technologies generation 28.3% followed by nuclear power generation 13.5% then oil shale direct fired generation 3.18% and finally from coal fired generation 1.9%.
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