The Impacts of Land Use and Land Cover Change on Ecosystem Service Values at Lam Takhong Watershed, Thailand
Keywords:
Binary logistic regression analysis, CLUE-S model, Ecosystem service value, Lam Takhong watershed, Simple benefit transfer methodAbstract
Understanding the driving factors of land use and land cover (LULC) change, predicting LULC change, and assessing the effects of LULC change on future ecosystem service values are crucial for land managers and land use planners to mitigate their impacts. This research aims to identify driving factors on LULC change and apply them to predict LULC changes using the CLUE-S model for evaluating ecosystem service value and change in the Lam Takhong watershed. As a result, the most significant driving factors on LULC change were elevation, annual rainfall, and irrigation area. The predicted LULC data between 2024 and 2039 indicated an increase in urban and built-up areas, sugarcane, perennial trees and orchards, other agricultural areas, water bodies, and unused land. Conversely, there were decreases in paddy fields, corn, cassava, forest land, rangeland, and marsh and swamp. The total ecosystem service value is expected to decrease continuously between 2023 and 2039. By considering ecosystem service value by its function, gas regulation, climate regulation, soil formation, biodiversity protection, food production, and raw material functions are expected to decrease marginally from 2023 to 2039. Still, waste treatment, water supply, recreation and culture functions will be slightly increasing in the future. In conclusion, LULC change affects the value of ecosystem services in each category and function within the Lam Takhong watershed, particularly through the conversion of paddy fields and forest land into other LULC types in the future. Therefore, the Government should establish specific policies or interventions to prevent land use and land cover change in the Lam Takhong watershed.
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